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Schedule Forensics

DCMA 14-Point Assessment explained · with a worked P6 example

The DCMA 14-point assessment is the fastest way to tell whether a Primavera P6 schedule is a model of the work, or a negotiation document. Here is what each test means, and what a failing schedule looks like.

In short

The DCMA 14-point assessment is fourteen mechanical tests of schedule quality, developed by the U.S. Defense Contract Management Agency. It tests whether the network is built well enough to be trusted, not whether the dates are achievable, across network logic, float and realism, and executability. Run monthly, it turns schedule integrity from an argument into a measurement.

Most large programmes do not drift because anyone lies. They drift because the schedule quietly stops being a model of the work and becomes a document written to protect dates. Logic gets deleted, constraints multiply, and float evaporates into a handful of activities nobody looks at. The DCMA 14-point assessment exists to catch this, structurally, and early.

Developed by the U.S. Defense Contract Management Agency, it is fourteen mechanical tests of schedule quality, not of whether the dates are achievable, but of whether the network is built well enough to be trusted. Run monthly rather than only at claim time, it turns schedule integrity from an argument into a measurement.

What are the 14 DCMA checks, and how do they group?

Network logic (checks 1 to 5)

  • Logic, activities missing predecessors or successors (target: <5%). Dangling activities are the single most common defect.
  • Leads, negative lag. Target: zero. A lead usually hides missing logic.
  • Lags, excessive positive lag used instead of real activities (target: <5%).
  • Relationship types, the network should be at least 90% Finish-to-Start. Too many SS/FF relationships obscure the true critical path.
  • Hard constraints, date constraints that override logic (target: <5%). Each one is a place where the schedule stops calculating and starts asserting.

Float & realism (checks 6 to 10)

  • High float, activities with total float > 44 working days often signal broken or missing logic.
  • Negative float, target: zero. Negative float means the schedule already knows it is late.
  • High duration, activities longer than 44 days should be decomposed.
  • Invalid dates, forecast dates in the past or actuals in the future (target: zero).
  • Resources, resourced activities should carry cost or hours.

Executability (checks 11 to 14)

  • Missed tasks, activities slipping behind baseline (target: <5%).
  • Critical path test, deliberately push an activity and confirm the critical path reacts. A path that does not move is not really critical.
  • CPLI (Critical Path Length Index), critical path length plus total float, divided by critical path length. Below 0.95 means the programme is losing efficiency against its finish.
  • BEI (Baseline Execution Index), tasks actually completed divided by tasks that should have completed by the data date. Below 0.95 means the team is falling behind the plan.

How do you run the DCMA 14-point assessment in Primavera P6?

The assessment is only as good as the file and the population it is run on. This is the sequence we use on a native P6 file.

  1. Take the native file, not a PDF. Export the current update as XER (or XML) together with the baseline it is measured against. BEI and the missed-task check are meaningless without the right baseline assigned in P6.
  2. Set the population. Most checks count incomplete normal activities. Exclude level-of-effort activities, WBS summaries and milestones from the duration and float counts, and state the exclusions in the report so the result can be reproduced.
  3. Logic, leads, lags and relationship types (checks 1 to 4). Work from the relationships export: open ends, negative lags, positive lags and the share of Finish-to-Start links. Treat the project start and finish milestones as the only legitimate open ends.
  4. Hard constraints (check 5). In P6 these are Mandatory Start and Mandatory Finish, Start On, Finish On, and the On or Before constraints. Each one should have a documented reason, such as a contractual access date.
  5. Float, duration and dates (checks 6 to 10). Read total float and remaining duration in working days against the 44-day thresholds, and look for forecast dates before the data date or actuals after it.
  6. The critical path test (check 12). Add a large duration to one activity on the longest path, reschedule, and confirm the project finish moves by the same amount. If it does not, the path is broken somewhere and the reported critical path cannot be relied on.
  7. CPLI and BEI (checks 13 and 14). Calculate both at the data date and track them month by month. A single reading says little; the trend says a great deal.

Built-in schedule checks and add-on tools will report most of these numbers in seconds. The judgement is in the population, the exclusions and the critical path test, which is where an automated score most often flatters a weak programme.

What does a failing DCMA result look like in practice?

Take a 1,200-activity civils programme. On paper it shows completion on the contract date. The DCMA run tells a different story: 11% of activities have no predecessor logic, there are 38 hard constraints, and the BEI is 0.82. Read together, those three numbers say the schedule has been pinned to the contract date with constraints while the work itself is running roughly 18% behind. The "on-time" finish is an artefact of the constraints, not of the logic.

Any month where the critical path changes without a corresponding change event is a month that gets a forensic look. It costs a day. The alternative costs an arbitration.

That is the value of the assessment: it makes the problem visible while it is still a management problem, months before it becomes a dispute. Planners tidy the logic they know will be tested; boards ask questions while the answers can still change the outcome.

When do we run the DCMA 14-point assessment on a P6 file?

We run all 14 DCMA tests, plus the GAO and NASA checks and a full critical-path register, against the native Primavera P6 file as the first step of every programme review. For live mandates we pair it with independent forensic delay analysis so the numbers are read the way a tribunal will read them.

The 14 DCMA checks, grouped as network logic (checks 1 to 5), float and realism (checks 6 to 10) and executability (checks 11 to 14).
CheckWhat it measuresTarget or signal
LogicActivities missing predecessors or successorsTarget: under 5%. Dangling activities are the single most common defect.
LeadsNegative lagTarget: zero. A lead usually hides missing logic.
LagsExcessive positive lag used instead of real activitiesTarget: under 5%
Relationship typesProportion of Finish-to-Start relationshipsAt least 90% Finish-to-Start. Too many SS/FF relationships obscure the true critical path.
Hard constraintsDate constraints that override logicTarget: under 5%. Each one is a place where the schedule stops calculating and starts asserting.
High floatActivities with total float greater than 44 working daysOften signals broken or missing logic
Negative floatActivities carrying negative floatTarget: zero. Negative float means the schedule already knows it is late.
High durationActivity durations longer than 44 daysActivities longer than 44 days should be decomposed
Invalid datesForecast dates in the past or actuals in the futureTarget: zero. Forecasts in the past or actuals in the future mean the update is unreliable.
ResourcesWhether resourced activities carry cost or hoursResourced activities should carry cost or hours
Missed tasksActivities slipping behind baselineTarget: under 5%
Critical path testDeliberately push an activity and confirm the critical path reactsA path that does not move is not really critical
CPLI (Critical Path Length Index)Critical path length plus total float, divided by critical path lengthBelow 0.95 means the programme is losing efficiency against its finish
BEI (Baseline Execution Index)Tasks actually completed divided by tasks that should have completed by the data dateBelow 0.95 means the team is falling behind the plan
FAQ

Common questions

What is the DCMA 14-point assessment?
It is fourteen mechanical tests of schedule quality developed by the U.S. Defense Contract Management Agency. It does not test whether the dates are achievable; it tests whether the network is built well enough to be trusted. The checks group into network logic, float and realism, and executability. Run monthly rather than only at claim time, it turns schedule integrity from an argument into a measurement.
What are the DCMA 14-point targets and thresholds?
The stated targets are: activities missing predecessors or successors under 5%; leads (negative lag) zero; excessive lags under 5%; at least 90% Finish-to-Start relationships; hard constraints under 5%; negative float zero; missed tasks under 5%. Activities longer than 44 days should be decomposed, and total float above 44 working days often signals broken or missing logic.
What is the difference between CPLI and BEI?
CPLI, the Critical Path Length Index, is critical path length plus total float divided by critical path length; below 0.95 means the programme is losing efficiency against its finish. BEI, the Baseline Execution Index, is tasks actually completed divided by tasks that should have completed by the data date; below 0.95 means the team is falling behind the plan.
What does a failing DCMA assessment look like in practice?
A 1,200-activity civils programme can show completion on the contract date while the DCMA run finds 11% of activities with no predecessor logic, 38 hard constraints and a BEI of 0.82. Read together, those numbers say the schedule was pinned to the contract date with constraints while the work ran roughly 18% behind. The on-time finish is an artefact of the constraints, not the logic.
How do you run the DCMA 14-point assessment in Primavera P6?
Export the native XER or XML for the current update with its baseline assigned, set the population (incomplete normal activities, excluding level-of-effort, WBS summaries and milestones where the check calls for it), then work through logic, leads, lags, relationship types and hard constraints from the relationships export, float and duration against the 44-day thresholds, invalid dates, the critical path test, and CPLI and BEI at the data date.
Is the DCMA 14-point assessment a pass or fail test?
No. The thresholds are guidelines for where to look, not a verdict. A programme can pass every check and still be unrealistic, and a programme can fail a check for a documented reason such as a contractual access date. Read the results together and as a monthly trend.
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